Australia on Fire (Summer of 2019-2020)

Visiting Australia this southern summer, this scribe has come experienced with the ravages of climate change and its horrific effects on the lives of people. This continent sized country has always been beset with summer bush fires. High temperatures and strong coupled with dry weather creates conditions for easy ignition and rapid spread of fires across its grasslands and jungles. However, the fires this season have been extremely alarming and the year will go down as one of the worst ever in many aspects. The statics reveal the terrible extent of damage. As of mid January 2020, fires this season have burnt an estimated 18.6 million hectares (46 million acres; 186,000 square kilometers; 72,000 square miles). That is more area than Holland, Belgium and Luxembourg combined and half the size of Germany. Fires have destroyed over 5,900 buildings, of which are 3000 homes and killed about 40 people, including many fire fighters. And the fire season is still not over. It is estimated by Prof Chris Dickman of University of Sydney, an authority on Australian biodiversity, that half a billion animals have been killed by the fires this season. There is an apprehension that the fires may have put the much adored Koala population on the road of extinction due to their large scale deaths and loss of their habitat. That would indeed be a terrible loss to life on this planet. Since my arrival here, I have pained to see TV reports of 100 to 200 active fires at any given time, with some reported as out of control. The Guardian carried a report on 24 Jan that more than half the population of this wide country has been affected, directly or indirectly, by the fires. The fire departments frequently issue warnings for people, of a certain area to leave immediately or, alarmingly, advising residents to take shelter as it was now too late to leave. One wonders, with wood-frame houses, where people can take shelter. The first light rain during the fires brought brown water pouring down. For a few days, tap water in Melbourne smelled of burnt woods. Smoke from the fires brought air quality of Sydney and Canberra, which is normally excellent, to being the worst in the entire world. Some government offices were closed in Canberra for a few days due to fear of lung ailments. Some matches in Australian Open in Melbourne had to be rescheduled due to poor air quality. East Gippsland, a region in the far northeastern corner of Victoria, was projected to be the hardest hit by blazes. The area is home to about 80,000 residents and is a popular area for outdoor tourism. 4000 of its residents and tourists were trapped and cut off at the coastal town of Mallacoota and had to be evacuated by naval ships. On Thursday Jan 23, as I was trapped indoors in the persistent light rain and cool environ of Melbourne's Lysterfield South neighbourhood, the news continued to be grim. A US C130, deployed on water bombing effort with a crew of three went down over Cooma, about a hundred kilometers south of Canberra. Fires were reported out of control in Beard, Oaks Estate and West Queanbeyan; all in the vicinity of Canberra forcing closure of its airport. Even with widespread rain over the weekend in south eastern Australia, with golf ball sized hails in Melbourne and Canberra, there were still 70 fires burning across NSW, including 44 that were out of control and three at emergency level. The rain had nearly put out the fires in Victoria but 9news TV reported that the emergency services were preparing for some more bad times with forecast of temperatures rising above 300 C and wind speeds in excess of 80 km/hr. Meteorologist Kevin Parker reportedly grimly "We have gone from fires, storms, floods and giant hail stones the size of limes in Glen Iris producing widespread damage, to fire danger escalating on our doorstep." The Australian newspaper of 24th Jan reported that after a scorching night, Sydney residents were bracing for some more violent stormy weather of rains, hails and winds. Fires impacted the tourist attractive sites on the eastern coast and in the mountains resulting in losses of about $5 billion. Australian tourism industry is worth $47 billion, contributes 3% to economy and employs 5% of its people. Australia is a vast continent and has different kinds of weather in its various areas. Its agricultural heartland is the plains on the west side of the Great Dividing Range that runs north to south along its eastern coastline from Queensland in the north through NSW in the center to Victoria in the south. This area is drained by Murray-Darling river system with its numerous tributaries. It produces 40% of nation’s food and its agricultural income. It used to sustain large flocks of livestock for export and grow copious amounts of cotton, wheat, rice, almonds, oranges, and grapes. The area goes through periods of lean rainfalls but the current drought is running into fourth year. Average yearly water flow in the Murray River is 9000 Giga liters but that was reduced to 2700 GL only in 2018. That is a drop of 66%. It is forecast that the water levels will reduce by a further 25%. This has resulted in damage to 50 to 80% of wetlands and a third of fresh water fish species are threatened with extinction. The Murray meets 40% of water requirements of city of Adelaide, and the quality and quantity of water has been severely affected, mainly due to high levels of salinity. In Griffith NSW, in the heart of agricultural area, I have numerous farmer friends who often take me to their farms for seed sowing or crop picking. Drought has adversely affected the agriculture here. When I visited a rice husking mill on a visit four years ago, I was informed by the officials there that the highest production of rice in Australia had been over a million tons. This year, it was about 50 thousand tons and I found Pakistani and Indian rice in the super markets. A friend had taken me three years ago for cotton picking. It was an unforgettable experience riding the million dollar combined harvester that sucked in cotton balls off the stalks, rolls them into a thousand Kg bails, wraps them around with water proof plastic sheets and off loads them in a line on both sides of the 1000 hectare fields. The crop earned him around a million dollar per year. This year, he told me that he had not been able to get any crop in; not even one seed due shortage of water. Australia used to export $2 billion worth of cotton that has been severely curtailed. I went around the agricultural town of Coleamblly that I found green during my last visit but found it absolutely dry this time. The livestock are dwindling. My front door neighbor is a wheat farmer who is totally dependent on rainwater. He has gone without any crop of last two years. It broke my heart to see their agony. Every person here has mortgages and insurances to pay. Muslims here have offered collective prayers for rains and protection against fires. The Imams have given sermons in support of fire fighters and the affected. This Friday at the mosque that I attended, the sermon was totally devoted to the fire victims. That was very encouraging as this positive attitude shall go a long way in creating harmony in the multicultural society here. Climate change is a reality. Australian politicians are still trying to avoid facing the truth primarily because the country is amongst the largest exporter of coal and LNG in the world. It earned 67 billion dollars for coal and 31 billion dollars for LNG last year, which is the basis of high standards of living in Australia. However, the tide is turning amongst the industrialised world against use of fossil fuel and Australians will be forced to meet the climate change goals. Australia is burning and that is sad. It is a good country to live and I have found its inhabitants extremely friendly, equitable and law abiding. I hope they continue to do well and keep up their high standards of living. This article appeared in the weekly The Friday Times on 31st Jan 2017 Parvez Mahmood retired as a Group Captain from PAF and is now a software engineer. He lives in Islamabad and writes on social and historical issues. He can be reached at parvezmahmood53@gmail.com